Analyst: Senate Hopefuls' First
Debate Lacks Consequence
By Leticia Linn
Capital News Service
Wednesday, Oct. 4, 2006
BALTIMORE - For a week, debates were the center of the debate in the
U.S. Senate race, but the first opportunity the candidates had
to exchange arguments did little to influence voters' minds,
analysts said.
Republican Michael Steele, Democrat Ben Cardin and
three-party independent Kevin Zeese tried hard to distinguish
themselves on issues, including the Iraq war and the Rep. Mark
Foley page scandal, and even in style, during Tuesday's two-hour
debate organized by the Greater Baltimore Urban League.
The three did what they were expected to do: Cardin went
after Steele, Steele defended himself with a warm style, and
Zeese tried to get into the game.
But none of that was enough to win over new supporters, said
Ronald Walters, professor of political science of the University
of Maryland, College Park, who called the discussion
"inconsequential."
"None of the candidates was able to open up a line of attack
successfully on the other one," he said. Steele did an adequate
job defending himself, while Cardin was able to talk about the
issues on which he and Steele disagree, Walters said.
"I think he (Cardin) came off as a better public person on
the issues, and Steele came off in terms of his own personality
as a more likeable person."
But Walters said most people by now "have already made up
their minds" on who they will support, and for most voters, he
said, war in Iraq has become a major topic nationwide in the
campaign.
However, Walters said he was surprised by the way the Foley
scandal was played up. Foley, a Republican congressman from
Florida, resigned Friday after sexually explicit e-mails he sent
to a teenaged page became public.
For Zach Messite, assistant professor of political science at
St. Mary's College of Maryland, this first debate might have had
little impact on voters, but when it's added to advertising and
personal appearances, it could have a "cumulative effect over
the next 40 days."
The Baltimore Sun's Sept. 25 poll, Messite said, was a
powerful attention-getter for Steele, since he got 40 percent
against Cardin's 51 percent. Being down 11 points means that
"the warm, fuzzy thing is over" and it's time to "go on the
offensive," explained Messite. For that reason, he said, Steele
tried to criticize Cardin for being "an old-time politician" who
does not listen to people.
Messite agreed with Walters that the Iraq war is the main
campaign issue, which was also a main topic in the debate.
After reiterating he voted against the war, Cardin called for
a "systematic reduction" of U.S troops in Iraq, and said the
international community should be engaged in helping to
reorganize the country.
Zeese called for an immediate withdrawal from Iraq, in a
process no longer than four or six months: "Everything that we
fear is more likely to happen by staying."
In a soft voice, Steele tried to manage one of the hottest
issues for him.
"It's not going well; no, it's not," he admitted after
moderator Charles Robinson, a journalist from Maryland Public
Television, pressed him to answer. Still, he insisted that it
was not the time "to step back" from Iraq. "We are there to
finish the job," he said.
Steele was also questioned about the Foley issue and the
Republican authorities who knew about it.
"We need to investigate every member who touched this
matter," he said, even if it means a loss of job for Speaker of
the House Dennis Hastert, R-Ill.
Several prominent Democrats, as well as some social
conservatives, have already called for Hastert's resignation,
with Cardin among them.
"The leadership of the House knew of this for 10 months,"
Cardin said at the debate, "and you are talking about the safety
of our children, so immediate action is needed there."
As the crossfire between Cardin and Steele continued, Zeese,
the candidate for the Green, Libertarian and Populist parties,
asked people not to rely on the "status quo" parties. He said
the major parties are dominated by special-interest groups and
corporations, and asked voters to forgo voting "based on fear
and manipulation."
Next time, the candidates should change strategies, Walters
said.
Cardin, for example, should avoid attacking Steele.
"He is ahead in the polls, so why he should alienate voters
by overly campaigning and attacking his opponent?" Walters said.
"That is being out of character for him. . . . Voters don't like
negative campaigns."
On the other hand, Walters said, Steele "has to do some
attacking" and try to bring Cardin's positive ratings down. "I
don't think he can be Mr. Nice Guy and win this election."
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